With one exception, Democrats have lost every single U.S. Senate race in North Carolina this century, their quests in recent years rocked by controversy and difficult political climates. This year, they are betting two things will make it different: The candidate is Roy Cooper, the southern state’s former governor, and the economy, where voter anger could imperil the party in power.
Months out from Election Day, Cooper’s Senate campaign is centering his message on economic anxiety. In his first television ad of the cycle — details of which were first reported by MS NOW — Cooper weaves his personal story with the kitchen-table concerns preoccupying voters.
“I’m running for the Senate to make life easier today,” Cooper says in the spot, which his campaign says is part of a seven-figure ad buy. “To go after insurance companies ripping you off. To make sure you can retire with dignity. And to build an economy that finally values working people.”
The North Carolina race is primed to be one of the most important contests of this fall’s midterms as he attempts to flip control of one of North Carolina’s U.S. Senate seats for the first time since 2008. The recruitment of Cooper — a two-term governor who was elected both times while Trump carried the state in the same election cycle — has buoyed the party’s hopes.
This is also a contest in which Trump’s influence is clearly a factor. The president has thrown his support behind former Republican National Committee Chair Michael Whatley, pitting a candidate with deep ties to Trump against Cooper, who has long demonstrated an ability to win in the state despite national political headwinds.
“Roy Cooper’s soft-on-crime agenda put our kids and communities at risk — and he must answer for this,” Whatley said in a social media post earlier this year.
North Carolina is one of six Senate seats that Democrats have a realistic path to flipping in this fall’s midterms. A loss there would essentially doom the party’s chances of taking back the Senate majority for Trump’s final two years in the White House.
Democrats enter the cycle trying to rebuild after a 2024 election that cost them both the White House and the Senate. Reconnecting with voters who drifted away from the party over concerns about its direction remains a challenge across the map — but Cooper may be better positioned than most to bridge that gap.
During his career in politics, the 68-year-old has proven to be a tough out for Republicans. Dating back to 2000, he won four terms as the state’s attorney general before ousting the state’s then-incumbent Republican governor in 2016 — even as Trump won the state in that year’s presidential election. Four years later, Cooper was re-elected as Trump carried the state for a second time.
Cooper has never lost a race in North Carolina. Democrats are counting on that streak holding one more time.
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